Eliteserien notes: closing-line value after the midweek round

Midweek Eliteserien money clustered on home favourites. Three of the four shortest prices closed shorter still; one drifted after a late team-news item and paid the holders who got in early.

Draw prices were the quieter inefficiency. When the 1X2 market is already squeezed, 1X double chance is often where the last useful number lives.

For Sunday, treat Thursday’s close as the baseline. If a Sunday morning print is only a few ticks off that close, there is usually less edge than the headline move suggests.